Paolo Maria Pavan Why “Only 3.1% Inflation” Is a Lie You’re Telling Yourself June 2025. Inflation: 3.1%. Sounds harmless, doesn’t it? A small dip from May’s 3.3%. According to the rapid estimate from CBS, consumer prices stayed flat compared to the previous month. The kind of ... DUTCH ECONOMY Paolo Maria Pavan 2 jul. 2025
Paolo Maria Pavan Why the Dutch Economy Is Quietly Bleeding While Everyone Pretends It’s a Bruise The Clock Shows Red, Yet We Whisper in Beige Let’s not sugarcoat it: 12 of 13 indicators in the CBS Business Cycle Clock fell below their long-term trend in June 2025. That's not a “slight cooling” or... DUTCH ECONOMY Paolo Maria Pavan 1 jul. 2025
Paolo Maria Pavan Why Most CEOs Sleepwalk Into Economic Downturns And How the Business Cycle Clock Exposes Their Denial The Illusion of Progress: Why “Waves” Matter More Than Numbers Let’s begin where most articles end: the business cycle is not a spreadsheet artifact or a journalist’s cliché. It is the heartbeat of ou... DUTCH ECONOMY Paolo Maria Pavan 26 jun. 2025
Paolo Maria Pavan Why GDP Growth Is Bullsh*t if Jobs Are Shrinking and People Are Just Tired of Waiting Let’s Start With the Boring Number: +0.4% That’s the Dutch GDP growth in Q1 2025, according to CBS’s second estimate. Yawn? No. Because if you think that number is just a bland statistical revision, f... DUTCH ECONOMY Paolo Maria Pavan 25 jun. 2025
Paolo Maria Pavan Waarom Nederlanders Denken Dat Ze Rijker Worden (Terwijl Ze Stilletjes Hun Eigen Ongeluk Financieren) Laten We Beginnen Met de Kop Die Iedereen Doet Klappen “Het reëel beschikbaar inkomen van huishoudens steeg in Q1 2025 met 2,2% ten opzichte van een jaar eerder.” De rekenmeesters van het CBS willen d... DUTCH ECONOMY Paolo Maria Pavan REAL ESTATE 24 jun. 2025
Paolo Maria Pavan Why €90 Billion in Dutch Profits Should Worry You More Than Impress You When Numbers Stop Whispering and Start Revealing Gross profit before tax for non-financial companies in the Netherlands rose to €90.1 billion in Q1 2025, €4.7 billion higher than in Q1 2024. Operating... DUTCH ECONOMY Paolo Maria Pavan 24 jun. 2025
Paolo Maria Pavan Why Dutch CEOs Are Slamming the Brakes And What It Really Says About the Netherlands The Numbers Don’t Lie, But They Rarely Tell the Whole Truth April 2025: investments in tangible fixed assets dropped 2.3% compared to a year earlier. That’s not just a stat, it’s a signal. And if you’... DUTCH ECONOMY Paolo Maria Pavan 23 jun. 2025
Paolo Maria Pavan Dutch House Prices Skyrocket Again! Because No One Trusts Anything Else Anymore Let me be clear from the start: house prices rising again is not news. It’s ritual. What matters now is not what has gone up, but why and why now . In May 2025, Dutch owner-occupied homes were on aver... DUTCH ECONOMY Paolo Maria Pavan REAL ESTATE 23 jun. 2025
Paolo Maria Pavan Why a One-Point Rise in Consumer Confidence Is More Dangerous Than a Crash A Whisper Louder Than Despair The Netherlands blinked in June. Not quite hope, just a blink. Consumer confidence, as measured by CBS, nudged itself from -37 in May to -36 in June. A single point. A ro... DUTCH ECONOMY Paolo Maria Pavan 20 jun. 2025
Paolo Maria Pavan WOZ 2025: When Numbers Pretend to be Neutral, But Never Are The Illusion of Value, the Certainty of Tax Here’s the headline: In 2025, the average WOZ value of Dutch homes is up 5%. That’s €398,000 on average,the benchmark figure municipalities use to calculate... DUTCH ECONOMY Paolo Maria Pavan REAL ESTATE 19 jun. 2025
Paolo Maria Pavan Why “Stable” Unemployment Figures Are the Most Dangerous Lie in the Dutch Economy May 2025 and apparently, nothing happened. That’s what the numbers would like us to believe. 3.8% unemployment , same as April. A tidy -2,000 drop in the number of people without work. 7,000 new jobs ... DUTCH ECONOMY Paolo Maria Pavan 19 jun. 2025
Paolo Maria Pavan Why Small Entrepreneurs Miss Out on Big Investments, And Why It Doesn’t Have to Stay That Way A Tsunami of Industrial Investment Is Coming—But Will It Lift All Boats? According to CBS, Dutch industrial producers expect a 27% increase in investments for 2025. In absolute terms, that means billi... DUTCH ECONOMY Paolo Maria Pavan 17 jun. 2025
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